title = {2003, “The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory},

The Construction of NATO expansion (see textbook: Dunne/Kurke/Smith International Relations Theory. Discipline and Diversity, New York: Oxford University Press Inc., pp Week 7: Applying Perspectives and Levels of Analysis I: THE CASE OF THE DEMOCARTIC PEACE (2 sessions preparation; remaining session will be panel discussion) Students are divided into four groups and have to prepare a panel discussion to which the first years and faculty are invited. One person is named moderator: his/her role is to introduce the audience to the topic (Democratic Peace Theory) and guide the discussion. The groups consist of representatives of the liberal, identity and realist perspective (who will all make a case why from their point of view the theory is correct) and one representative arguing and showing evidence why all of these arguments are not convincing. Teams will have to prepare their positions in written form which will be given to the teacher and serve as a basis for evaluation. However, the team s overall grade will be strongly influenced by the performance of the presenter and the questions of the audience (all other team members). Nau, Henry Perspectives on International Relations. Power, Institutions, Ideas. Washington D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Inc., Conclusion Gartzke, Eric. The Capitalist Peace, American Journal of Political Science 51, January 2007 Owen, John M. How Liberalism Produces Democratic Peace, International Security, vol. 19, no. 2, Fall 1994, pp Owen, John M. "Iraq and the Democratic Peace", Foreign Affairs, Nov.-Dec (Handout or online: Rice, Condoleezza. The Promise of Democratic Peace, Washington Post, December 11, 2005 Sebastian Rosato, The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory, American Political Science Review, November, 2003, pp Additional assignment (master students): Explain and argue in a 3-5 page paper which argument(s) and which perspective are most convincing to you. Week 8: Analysis of Democratic Peace Theory Panel (Week 7), Repetition, Midterm quiz ---MIDTERM QUIZ: XXX.--- Analysis of Democratic Peace Debate

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace TheorySEBASTIAN ROSATOThe University of Chicago

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

Lecture 4-1: Lecture 4-2:
Lecture 4-3:
Reading: Sebastian Rosato, “The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory,” American Political Science Review 97:1 (November 2003), pp. 585-602.
Reading: Branislav L Anna Alexandrova, and Erik Gartzke, “Probabilistic Causality, Selection Bias, and the Logic of the Democratic Peace,” American Political Science Review 99:3 (August 2005), pp. 459-462.

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory Sebastian Rosato The American Political Science Review, Vol. 97, No. 4. (Nov., 2003), pp. 585-602. Stable URL:

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory
The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

Reading in Social Sciences (RISOS) kali ini akan membahas artikel dari Sebastian Rosato yang berjudul The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory. Dalam artikel ini, Rosato hendak menelaah logika sebab-akibat yang mendasari teori tersebut untuk menentukan apakah teori tersebut penjelasan yang memadai mengenai pasifisme yang dimiliki demokrasi. Rosato menemukan bahwa demokrasi tidak serta merta mengenyahkan potensi konflik pun tak saling percaya/menghormati ketika kepentingan satu sama lain bersilangan. Ia membagi logika sebab-akibat dalam variable dependen dan independen lalu memeriksa hubungan sebab-akibat di antaranya.

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory

Here, the crux of the significance of the democratic peace is apparent. To liberalism, states are not identically rational, but distinguishable from one another based on regime type, among other factors. Moreover, states are not doomed to compete in the anarchic international system. Anarchy can be mitigated, if not overcome, by factors such as economic interdependence, international law, and democracy. Though Sebastian Rosato claims to have discredited democratic peace theory in his article, “The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory,” he acknowledges that, if true, “it undermines both the realist claim that states are condemned to exist in a constant state of security competition and its assertion that the structure of the international system, rather than state type, should be central to our understanding of state behavior” (Rosato 2003, 585). The controversy over democratic peace therefore centers on the fact that its validity would greatly discredit realism while its invalidity would strongly reaffirm realism’s fundamental claims about international politics.

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace TheorySebastian Rosato, The University of Chicago.

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory ..

The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory One way to try and rescue the public constraint mechanism would be to combine constraints with respect for fellow democratic polities (e.g., Mintz and Geva 1993). This new argument would hold that democracies have formed a separate and joint peace because democratic citizens are only averse to costs in their relations with other democracies. There are, however, several cases that belie this claim.16 There are, then, good reasons to believe that pacific public opinion does not significantly reduce the likelihood that democracies will go to war. In the majority of cases, the public is likely to be unaffected by war and therefore adopt a permissive attitude towards the use of force. Moreover, in those cases where the national interest or honor is at stake, democratic publics are as likely as any other to disregard the costs of war and democratic leaders have considerable opportunities both to encourage and to exploit nationalistic fervor.